quantmodel — Revisit partial MTP + Varadi Growth/Inflation Sector Timing

Objective

Revisit partial MTP + Varadi Growth/Inflation Sector Timing.

Notes: Varadi GI disclosed+replicated (corr 0.909 Δ+2.20%). MTP remains partial (BBT PDF/a walk-forward). Specs varadi-gi + mtp-portfolio. Findings: as-mtp-varadi-gi-revisit.md, as-varadi-gi-scale-batch.md

Approach

Reuses existing report research/findings/as-mtp-varadi-gi-revisit.md — tables/metrics preserved verbatim via source_report pointer. Body below summarizes grounded evidence from that report and adjacent artifacts.

Files / code / data changed

Associated commits (inferred from log grep t95):

4d28661e research: t95 Varadi GI replicated; MTP partial; objective done (#84)
4d28661e research: t95 Varadi GI replicated; MTP partial; objective done (#84)
Source report: research/findings/as-mtp-varadi-gi-revisit.md
Task-history entry: research/findings/task-history.json#t95

Results

Key table from source report (preserved):

name	id	live alloc	verdict	action
Varadi's Growth and Inflation Sector Timing	367	XLE 100%	disclosed	Spec + port + verify
Momentum Turning Points	247	GLD/IEFA/SPY 16.7% + CASH 50%	partial (still)	Spec only; no port

Conclusions and metrics are in research/findings/as-mtp-varadi-gi-revisit.md; see detail page for preserved tables/metrics.

Conclusions

Varadi GI disclosed+replicated (corr 0.909 Δ+2.20%). MTP remains partial (BBT PDF/a walk-forward). Specs varadi-gi + mtp-portfolio. Findings: as-mtp-varadi-gi-revisit.md, as-varadi-gi-scale-batch.md

Problems / follow-ups

See source report or PR discussion for follow-ups. No unsupported follow-ups fabricated.