quantmodel — Port + verify Growth-Trend Timing

Objective

Port + verify Growth-Trend Timing - UE Rate vs AS metrics.

Notes: GTT-UE Rate replicated 2015+: corr 0.992 CAGRΔ +0.57%. Spec/runner for GrowthTrendTiming.ue_rate(); Findings: gtt-ue-rate-scale-batch.md.

Approach

Reuses existing report research/findings/gtt-ue-rate-scale-batch.md — tables/metrics preserved verbatim via source_report pointer. Body below summarizes grounded evidence from that report and adjacent artifacts.

Files / code / data changed

Associated commits (inferred from log grep t34):

eca05b88 research: t34 Growth-Trend Timing UE Rate replicated vs AS (#32)
eca05b88 research: t34 Growth-Trend Timing UE Rate replicated vs AS (#32)
Source report: research/findings/gtt-ue-rate-scale-batch.md
Task-history entry: research/findings/task-history.json#t34

Results

Key table from source report (preserved):

id	status	monthly corr	overlap CAGRΔ	notes
gtt-ue-rate	replicated	0.992	+0.57%	UNRATE > 12m avg + SPY 10m SMA

Conclusions and metrics are in research/findings/gtt-ue-rate-scale-batch.md; see detail page for preserved tables/metrics.

Conclusions

GTT-UE Rate replicated 2015+: corr 0.992 CAGRΔ +0.57%. Spec/runner for GrowthTrendTiming.ue_rate(); Findings: gtt-ue-rate-scale-batch.md.

Problems / follow-ups

See source report or PR discussion for follow-ups. No unsupported follow-ups fabricated.