Objective
Improve EEY with Momentum corr vs AS.
Notes: EEY-mom ^GSPC CPI-real: corr 0.924→0.999 CAGRΔ +0.30%. Blog 4% RP/SPY rejected. Findings: eey-with-momentum-corr.md
Approach
Reuses existing report research/findings/eey-with-momentum-corr.md — tables/metrics preserved verbatim via source_report pointer. Body below summarizes grounded evidence from that report and adjacent artifacts.
Files / code / data changed
Associated commits (inferred from log grep t110):
1f3e1c41research: t110 EEY-with-momentum corr 0.999 (^GSPC real) (#95)1f3e1c41research: t110 EEY-with-momentum corr 0.999 (^GSPC real) (#95)- Source report:
research/findings/eey-with-momentum-corr.md - Task-history entry:
research/findings/task-history.json#t110
Results
Key table from source report (preserved):
| variant | corr | CAGRΔ | notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| baseline (SPY + CPI + 4% RP) | 0.924 | +0.13% | t51 port |
| Shiller P + real-only | 0.964 | +0.45% | month-avg P ≠ month-end |
| ^GSPC + 4% RP (blog literal) | 0.958 | +0.27% | still short |
| ^GSPC + CPI-real only (rp=0) | 0.999 | +0.30% | shipped |
| ^GSPC + price-vs-MA (no CPI) | 0.967 | −0.44% | CPI deflation matters |
Conclusions and metrics are in research/findings/eey-with-momentum-corr.md; see detail page for preserved tables/metrics.
Conclusions
EEY-mom ^GSPC CPI-real: corr 0.924→0.999 CAGRΔ +0.30%. Blog 4% RP/SPY rejected. Findings: eey-with-momentum-corr.md
Problems / follow-ups
- See source report or PR discussion for follow-ups. No unsupported follow-ups fabricated.
Links
- Task-history:
research/findings/task-history.jsonidt110 - Findings:
research/findings/eey-with-momentum-corr.md - Commits:
1f3e1c41,1f3e1c41