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MODELS: The Lowry buy-the-dip Indicator | RecessionAlert — exploratory proxy campaign

2026-09-03T19:30:00Z Research completed The SHA-pinned Lowry buy-the-dip article discloses 80/90 stacked-count Class-A/B buys without named SP-500 breadth series, sell rules, or asset SHA256. Twenty-one labeled UVOL/DVOL public-proxy overlays were tested with causal lag>=1; disposition exploratory_tested_proxy under Other/Research with explicit NO-GO for native fidelity.
1587 recessionalert research_campaign lowry breadth proxy fidelity_mismatch data_limited exploratory_tested_proxy no_go_native

Source report: research/findings/1587.md

Objective

Explore the distinct RecessionAlert Lowry buy-the-dip inventory row from checked-in offline sources without live requests, credentials, private data, raw source republication, or SQLite mutation.

Source and provenance

Page https://recessionalert.com/the-lowry-buy-the-dip-indicator/ is bound to SHA256 sha256:9bfe2d823ba7871ba7e0f6366b277ea88a4c0af7c01e41f61e8752ff9132d4cc. Chart GIF embeds and the cited Desmond PDF are uncrawled (linked_assets=0). Only derived daily signals and metrics are published.

Approach and results

Twenty-one labeled variants across five families used a daily SPY/IEF overlay on USI:UVOL/USI:DVOL. Primary claims require lag_bars >= 1; lag 0 is control-only. Documented-intent Class-B lag-1 overlay trailed SPY buy-hold; looser panic floors and unlike NADC combinations raised activity. Native Lowry parity remains NO-GO.

Disposition

exploratory_tested_proxy — Other/Research publication only. NO-GO for native Lowry fidelity or promotion to a playable Indicator because the source omits named SP-500 issues/volume series, sell/hold mapping, publication lag, and asset SHA256.

Source artifact: research/results/1587.md