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PRO > OPTIMUM | RecessionAlert — exploratory proxy campaign

2026-09-03T13:30:00Z Research completed SHA-pinned PRO>OPTIMUM page discloses an OPTIMUM/STM/OPT-D dashboard without formulas or on-row assets. Twenty-six labeled public month-end proxies plus related off-row OPTIMUM_DATA.xlsx overlays were executed with causal lag>=1; disposition exploratory_tested_proxy under Other/Research with explicit NO-GO for native fidelity.
1549 recessionalert research_campaign proxy optimum market-timing fidelity_mismatch data_limited exploratory_tested_proxy no_go_native

Source report: research/findings/1549.md

Objective

Independently explore the distinct RecessionAlert inventory row for PRO > OPTIMUM from the checked-in offline snapshot without live-site requests, credentials, private account data, or canonical crawl-database mutation.

Source and provenance

Page https://recessionalert.com/pro-optimum/ bound to SHA256 sha256:340dfcfa15d9f4429fd88f2563981d90627bbbe0b6ac250682e453e2b9e35099, fetched 2026-08-22T23:25:15Z. Linked assets on row: 0. Related off-row workbook OPTIMUM_DATA.xlsx sha256:c01364504b43f157c9fd58752b2c8c9774318f04542f736198ce74cf4d0350d4 (PRO>Excel Data pointer; not href'd on this page). Public month-end proxies loaded read-only from data/market.sqlite. Sibling announcement issue 1536 remains a separate inventory row.

Disclosed rule, native span, and publication lag

Documented structure covers OPT-CMHI, OPT-1..5, STM-PRO, and OPT-D with macro vs bull-market classes and standardized March 2009 performance tables. Native observation span is unavailable on-row (text cites March 2009; longer for macro). Publication lag unknown; causal default is lag>=1.

Approach and variants

Seven candidate families with public proxies (SPY, IEF, UNRATE, INDPRO, T10Y3MM, ^VIX, and related) plus lagged workbook positions including STM-PRO. Twenty-six labeled variants executed; see research/findings/1549.md and research/findings/campaigns/1549_trial_ledger.json.

Disposition

exploratory_tested_proxy — Other/Research publication only; NO-GO for native OPTIMUM/STM/OPT-D parity; not promoted to playable Indicators.

Source artifact: research/results/1549.md