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CHARTS >Monthly Charts | RecessionAlert — exploratory proxy campaign

2026-09-03T06:30:00Z Research completed SHA-pinned Monthly Charts page discloses a multi-tab monthly chart family and cadence only, with zero linked assets. Twenty-one labeled public month-end proxy variants (Sahm/LEI/VIX-YC/CMHI/macro vote/best_effort) were executed with causal lag>=1; disposition exploratory_tested_proxy under Other/Research with explicit NO-GO for native fidelity.
1528 recessionalert research_campaign proxy monthly-charts sahm lei fidelity_mismatch data_limited exploratory_tested_proxy no_go_native

Source report: research/findings/1528.md

Objective

Independently explore the distinct RecessionAlert inventory row for CHARTS >Monthly Charts from the checked-in offline snapshot without live-site requests, credentials, private account data, or canonical crawl-database mutation.

Source and provenance

Page https://recessionalert.com/monthly-charts/ bound to SHA256 sha256:2241dedc4f58e8c154b67ded28764fe8d68f3f588ebdddb421dd19bc7b66a4c1, fetched 2026-08-22T23:39:01Z. Asset SHA256 provenance: linked_assets=0 (GIF/xlsx/private GDP iframes referenced in HTML but not crawled). Public month-end proxies loaded read-only from data/market.sqlite.

Disclosed rule, native span, and publication lag

Documented structure covers multi-tab labels (WORLD TRADE, U-52, SAHM, WORLD LEI-1/2/3, VIX/YC, USMLEI, M-CMHI, STM, CRB, CBANK POLICY, GDP, GDP2) and monthly update cadence at varying days. Native observation span is unavailable on-row. Publication lag unknown; causal default is lag>=1.

Approach and variants

Six candidate families with public proxies (UNRATE, INDPRO, ^VIX, T10Y3MM, SPY, IEF, and related). Twenty-one labeled variants executed; see research/findings/1528.md and research/findings/campaigns/1528_trial_ledger.json.

Disposition

exploratory_tested_proxy — Other/Research publication only; NO-GO for native Monthly Charts parity; not promoted to playable Indicators.

Source artifact: research/results/1528.md