{
  "experiment": {
    "alloc": {
      "labels": [],
      "series": []
    },
    "alloc_as": null,
    "alloc_monthly_as": null,
    "alloc_monthly_ours": {
      "labels": [],
      "series": []
    },
    "alloc_ours": {
      "labels": [],
      "series": []
    },
    "alloc_yearly_as": null,
    "alloc_yearly_ours": {
      "labels": [],
      "series": []
    },
    "analysis_page": "experiments/1374-analysis.html",
    "answer": "Yes as research_campaign proxies; no as official playable RA parity. SHA-verified Dashboard discloses SIGS/MTDIFF/FEAR/PANIC/MEGA fragments without observation tables. Eight labeled public-proxy variants were executed with lag>=1 primary policy. Publish under Other/Research; do not register Other-indicators signal.",
    "bead_ids": [
      "1374"
    ],
    "cost_variants": {},
    "coverage": null,
    "date": "2026-09-01",
    "disposition": "exploratory_tested_proxy — publish provenance, disclosed fragments, proxy trial ledger, and gaps; no playable registry signal.",
    "equity": {
      "experiment": [],
      "labels": [],
      "spy": [],
      "spy_labels": []
    },
    "errors": "Public proxies are not official RA series Native span and publication lag unknown No playable Other-indicators registration Workbook/chart bytes absent from snapshot assets",
    "follow_on": [
      {
        "status": "deferred",
        "title": "No explicit follow-on; file new issue if needed"
      }
    ],
    "followup_command": "gh issue create --title \"Follow-up RecessionAlert Dashboard disclosed composites exploratory pu\" --body \"Follow-up to 1374: Can the distinct RecessionAlert inventory row CHARTS > Dashboard yield tested ca\" --label \"priority:p2\" --label \"pipeline:research\" --label \"agent:ready\"",
    "gh_command": "gh issue create --title \"Follow-up RecessionAlert Dashboard disclosed composites exploratory pu\" --body \"Follow-up to 1374: Can the distinct RecessionAlert inventory row CHARTS > Dashboard yield tested ca\" --label \"priority:p2\" --label \"pipeline:research\" --label \"agent:ready\"",
    "id": "1374",
    "issue_ids": [
      "1374"
    ],
    "monthly": {
      "as": [],
      "labels": [],
      "ours": []
    },
    "page": "experiments/1374.html",
    "performance": {
      "cagr": 0.0,
      "max_drawdown": 0.0,
      "max_drawdown_fallback_rule": "Use daily backtest equity when available; otherwise compound published monthly returns and label the result monthly.",
      "max_drawdown_observation_frequency": "monthly",
      "sharpe": 0.0,
      "sortino": 0.0,
      "volatility": null
    },
    "provenance": {
      "artifact": "research/findings/specs/recessionalert-dashboard.json",
      "code": "research/research_campaign/recessionalert_1374.py",
      "finding": "research/findings/1374.md",
      "site_data": "site-data/experiments/1374.json",
      "tearsheet": null
    },
    "question": "Can the distinct RecessionAlert inventory row CHARTS > Dashboard yield tested causal timing insight from the offline snapshot when native series are missing?",
    "safe_withdrawal": null,
    "signalSeries": null,
    "signals": [],
    "slug": "1374",
    "stats": {
      "best_causal_cagr": 0.0919630341104829,
      "best_causal_sharpe": 1.0234831622241127,
      "best_causal_variant": "dash-sigs-lag1-lb12",
      "cagr": 0.0,
      "canonical_series_observations": 0,
      "complete_buy_sell_hold_mapping": false,
      "executable_rule_disclosed": false,
      "executable_signal_rows": 0,
      "inventory_digest_prefix_verified": true,
      "manifest_digest_verified": true,
      "maxDD": 0.0,
      "native_span": "unknown/not established",
      "page_content_length": 113275,
      "playable": false,
      "proxy_causal_variants": 7,
      "proxy_effective_span": "1993-01-31 to 2026-07-31",
      "proxy_variants_tested": 8,
      "same_url_crawl_vintages": 5,
      "sharpe": 0.0,
      "sortino": 0.0,
      "source_body_digest_verified": true,
      "target_media_asset_rows": 0,
      "underlying_publication_lag": "unknown"
    },
    "status": "completed",
    "status_chip": "Completed",
    "supplemental": {
      "campaign_profile": "research_campaign",
      "publication_section": "Other / Research"
    },
    "tax_analysis": null,
    "taxable_stats": null,
    "title": "RecessionAlert Dashboard: disclosed composites, exploratory public-proxy trials",
    "trading_costs": null,
    "verify": {
      "as_cagr": null,
      "as_stats": null,
      "cagr_delta": null,
      "gates": null,
      "last_verify_at": null,
      "monthly_bias": null,
      "monthly_corr": null,
      "monthly_mae": null,
      "n_months": null,
      "ours_cagr": 0.0,
      "ours_stats": {
        "ann_return": 0.0,
        "sharpe": 0.0,
        "sortino": 0.0
      },
      "passed": null,
      "status": "not_applicable",
      "verify_status": null
    },
    "visualizations": [
      {
        "source": "research/findings/1374.md",
        "title": "Disclosed Dashboard rule fragments and proxy trial summary",
        "type": "evidence_table"
      }
    ]
  },
  "generated_at": "2026-09-17T04:12:25Z",
  "id": "1374",
  "schema_id": "experiments/v1",
  "schema_version": 1
}